Ireland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
IRL
4 - 0
QAT
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
IRL
15%
27%
57%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
SRB
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
AZE
71%
20%
9%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PRT
5 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PRT
3 - 0
QAT
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
PRT
1%
12%
87%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 3
PRT
12%
21%
67%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |