Ireland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
WLS
1 - 0
IRL
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
1 - 0
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 0
WLS
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
SVK
0 - 0
IRL
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 2
FIN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
3 - 0
GIB
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
0 - 1
WLS
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
2 - 0
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 3
HUN
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |