South Korea vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
IRQ
63%
21%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
UZB
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
KOR
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
KWT
0 - 1
KOR
26%
24%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
1 - 0
OMN
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 0
ARE
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
KOR
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
OMN
0 - 4
AUS
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
4 - 1
KWT
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |