Arab Cup Fase de Grupos. Jor. 3

Catar vs Iraq analysis

Catar Iraq
83 ELO 79
4.1% Tilt -2.4%
256º General ELO ranking 311º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.6%
Catar
23.4%
Draw
22%
Iraq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
Catar
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
Iraq
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catar
-2%
+10%
Iraq

ELO progression

Catar
Iraq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catar
Catar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2021
OMN
Oman
1 - 2
Catar
QAT
29%
26%
46%
82 78 4 0
30 Nov. 2021
QAT
Catar
1 - 0
Bahrein
BHR
59%
22%
19%
82 76 6 0
22 Nov. 2021
QAT
Catar
1 - 1
RB Linense
BAL
84%
12%
4%
82 54 28 0
14 Nov. 2021
AZE
Azerbaijan
2 - 2
Catar
QAT
13%
22%
65%
82 57 25 0
11 Nov. 2021
SRB
Serbia
4 - 0
Catar
QAT
62%
21%
18%
82 85 3 0

Matches

Iraq
Iraq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2021
BHR
Bahrein
0 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
40%
26%
35%
79 76 3 0
30 Nov. 2021
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 1
Oman
OMN
42%
27%
32%
79 78 1 0
16 Nov. 2021
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 3
South Korea
KOR
20%
25%
56%
80 88 8 -1
11 Nov. 2021
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 1
Syria
SYR
53%
25%
22%
80 72 8 0
12 Oct. 2021
ARE
UAE
2 - 2
Iraq
IRQ
46%
26%
28%
80 78 2 0
X