Catar vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 1
QAT
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
CHN
2 - 0
QAT
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
QAT
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 2
TUR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 1
IRQ
47%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 0
VIE
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
2 - 2
THA
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TWN
0 - 2
IRQ
6%
16%
78%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | +1 |