Catar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 2
JOR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
QAT
3 - 0
KHM
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 30 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IND
0 - 3
QAT
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
QAT
8 - 1
AFG
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
QAT
0 - 4
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 1
SAU
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
LBN
10%
20%
70%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
PSE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
2 - 1
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |