Catar vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HTI
2 - 1
QAT
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 2
QAT
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
QAT
0 - 1
CRB
93%
6%
1%
|
82 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
34%
26%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
ARE
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
4 - 0
HND
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 1
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
HND
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |