Portugal vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
PRT
56%
21%
22%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 2
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 4
DEU
38%
23%
39%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
HUN
0 - 3
PRT
14%
20%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PRT
4 - 0
ISR
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
HUN
0 - 0
IRL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
AND
1 - 4
IRL
7%
20%
73%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 1
IRL
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 1
LUX
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
3 - 2
IRL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |