Portugal vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
HUN
0 - 3
PRT
14%
20%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PRT
4 - 0
ISR
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
PRT
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 3
PRT
6%
13%
81%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
2 - 2
PRT
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
DEU
45%
23%
32%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
DEU
7 - 1
LVA
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 1
DNK
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 2
MKD
93%
6%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROU
0 - 1
DEU
10%
16%
74%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |