Portugal vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 3
PRT
31%
24%
45%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 1
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
7 - 0
AND
92%
6%
1%
|
92 | 36 | 56 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
18%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
PRT
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AZE
0 - 0
MNE
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SVN
0 - 0
AZE
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
AZE
0 - 0
CYP
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MNE
2 - 0
AZE
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |