Poland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 0
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
2 - 0
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
MDA
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 4
FRA
25%
27%
48%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
FRA
16%
24%
60%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
HRV
52%
26%
23%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
11%
22%
67%
|
97 | 39 | 58 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |