Poland vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
POL
5 - 1
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 2
POL
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
NLD
1 - 0
POL
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
SVN
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BIH
0 - 0
NLD
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 1
NIR
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 2
POL
38%
25%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
BIH
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 3
BIH
5%
13%
82%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |