Poland vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
SAU
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
CHL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
NLD
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 2
SAU
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 5
ARG
7%
18%
75%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
JAM
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |