Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
VEN
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 0
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHL
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |