Peru vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
URY
1 - 0
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
91%
8%
2%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
KOR
79%
15%
6%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
SEN
85%
11%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | +1 |