WC Qual. S.America . Jor. 6

Paraguay vs Colombia analysis

Paraguay Colombia
85 ELO 91
-0.4% Tilt -13.5%
198º General ELO ranking 31º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.7%
Paraguay
25.6%
Draw
52.7%
Colombia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
Paraguay
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.7%
Win probability
Colombia
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay
-3%
+10%
Colombia

ELO progression

Paraguay
Colombia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2021
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
62%
21%
18%
85 87 2 0
02 Jul. 2021
PER
Peru
3 - 3
Paraguay
PRY
55%
24%
22%
85 87 2 0
29 Jun. 2021
URY
Uruguay
1 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
70%
19%
12%
85 91 6 0
25 Jun. 2021
CHL
Chile
0 - 2
Paraguay
PRY
67%
19%
14%
85 89 4 0
22 Jun. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
79%
14%
7%
85 94 9 0

Matches

Colombia
Colombia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2021
BOL
Bolivia
1 - 1
Colombia
COL
9%
21%
71%
91 73 18 0
10 Jul. 2021
COL
Colombia
3 - 2
Peru
PER
57%
24%
19%
91 87 4 0
07 Jul. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Colombia
COL
63%
21%
17%
91 94 3 0
04 Jul. 2021
URY
Uruguay
0 - 0
Colombia
COL
48%
24%
28%
91 91 0 0
24 Jun. 2021
BRA
Brazil
2 - 1
Colombia
COL
73%
18%
10%
91 98 7 0
X