Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
57%
24%
20%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
PRY
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PRY
2 - 1
ECU
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PRY
1 - 1
URY
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
57%
24%
20%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
PRY
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
URY
4 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CHL
4 - 2
PER
67%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |