Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
5 - 0
PRY
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PRY
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PRY
4 - 2
URY
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
3 - 1
PRY
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URY
0 - 3
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1935 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |