WC Qual. S.America . Jor. 4

Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis

Paraguay Bolivia
85 ELO 73
0.5% Tilt -11.2%
199º General ELO ranking 782º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.3%
Paraguay
18.9%
Draw
11.8%
Bolivia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
Paraguay
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
Bolivia
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay
-3%
-8%
Bolivia

ELO progression

Paraguay
Bolivia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2020
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
84%
12%
5%
85 94 9 0
14 Oct. 2020
VEN
Venezuela
0 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
56%
23%
21%
84 85 1 +1
09 Oct. 2020
PRY
Paraguay
2 - 2
Peru
PER
39%
27%
35%
84 88 4 0
19 Nov. 2019
SAU
Saudi Arabia
0 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
34%
28%
39%
85 79 6 -1
14 Nov. 2019
BGR
Bulgaria
0 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
43%
26%
30%
84 83 1 +1

Matches

Bolivia
Bolivia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2020
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 3
Ecuador
ECU
21%
24%
55%
74 87 13 0
13 Oct. 2020
BOL
Bolivia
1 - 2
Argentina
ARG
9%
19%
72%
74 94 20 0
10 Oct. 2020
BRA
Brazil
5 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
91%
8%
2%
74 97 23 0
16 Oct. 2019
BOL
Bolivia
3 - 1
Haiti
HTI
58%
22%
20%
74 69 5 0
11 Oct. 2019
VEN
Venezuela
4 - 1
Bolivia
BOL
65%
20%
15%
74 84 10 0
X