Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
PRY
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRY
0 - 0
ARG
17%
23%
59%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 1
PRY
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
PRY
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BOL
4 - 2
VEN
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ECU
2 - 0
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
URY
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 3
PER
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |