Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
2 - 1
VEN
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 0
PRY
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
PER
3 - 3
PRY
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
90%
8%
3%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 3
ARG
10%
21%
69%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |