Papua New Guinea vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 2
PNG
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 0
PNG
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PHL
5 - 0
PNG
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SGP
2 - 1
PNG
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PYF
4 - 0
WSM
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
URY
8 - 0
PYF
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 91 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
PYF
92%
7%
1%
|
45 | 99 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
PYF
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
PYF
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |