Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 2
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PYF
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
PYF
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FJI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
FJI
3 - 0
NCL
26%
22%
53%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NCL
1 - 1
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +5 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NCL
2 - 1
FJI
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FJI
2 - 2
NCL
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |