Pakistan vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
75.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
KSA
4 - 0
PAK
88%
11%
2%
|
32 | 80 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
KHM
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
KHM
0 - 0
PAK
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 4
KWT
5%
17%
78%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 2
TJK
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SGP
0 - 2
TJK
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KWT
2 - 1
TJK
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UAE
0 - 0
TJK
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |