New Zealand vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JOR
3 - 1
NZL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 0
GMB
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BHR
0 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CUW
1 - 2
NZL
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FJI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FJI
0 - 0
VUT
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FJI
1 - 1
PYF
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FJI
1 - 0
MUS
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
FJI
3 - 0
NCL
26%
22%
53%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |