UEFA Nations League Liga B. Jor. 4

Norway vs Sweden analysis

Norway Sweden
85 ELO 88
-6.8% Tilt -2.2%
159º General ELO ranking 105º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.4%
Norway
26.6%
Draw
42%
Sweden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
Norway
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42%
Win probability
Sweden
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Norway
+4%
-10%
Sweden

ELO progression

Norway
Sweden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2022
NOR
Norway
0 - 0
Slovenia
SVN
66%
21%
14%
85 78 7 0
05 Jun. 2022
SWE
Sweden
1 - 2
Norway
NOR
58%
23%
20%
85 88 3 0
02 Jun. 2022
SRB
Serbia
0 - 1
Norway
NOR
56%
22%
22%
85 86 1 0
29 Mar. 2022
NOR
Norway
9 - 0
Armenia
ARM
67%
21%
12%
84 71 13 +1
25 Mar. 2022
NOR
Norway
2 - 0
Slovakia
SVK
44%
26%
30%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Sweden
Sweden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2022
SWE
Sweden
0 - 1
Serbia
SRB
56%
24%
20%
88 86 2 0
05 Jun. 2022
SWE
Sweden
1 - 2
Norway
NOR
58%
23%
20%
88 85 3 0
02 Jun. 2022
SVN
Slovenia
0 - 2
Sweden
SWE
16%
24%
59%
88 79 9 0
29 Mar. 2022
POL
Poland
2 - 0
Sweden
SWE
39%
25%
36%
89 87 2 -1
24 Mar. 2022
SWE
Sweden
1 - 0
Czech Republic
CZE
45%
25%
30%
88 87 1 +1
X