World Cup Grupo E. Jor. 1

Norway vs Mexico analysis

Norway Mexico
86 ELO 89
-2.5% Tilt -4.3%
161º General ELO ranking 53º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.6%
Norway
27.4%
Draw
27.1%
Mexico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
Norway
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.1%
Win probability
Mexico
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Norway
-2%
-8%
Mexico

ELO progression

Norway
Mexico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 1994
SWE
Sweden
2 - 0
Norway
NOR
69%
19%
12%
86 91 5 0
01 Jun. 1994
NOR
Norway
2 - 1
Denmark
DNK
38%
30%
33%
85 91 6 +1
22 May. 1994
ENG
England
0 - 0
Norway
NOR
72%
19%
10%
85 94 9 0
20 Apr. 1994
NOR
Norway
0 - 0
Portugal
PRT
45%
29%
27%
85 89 4 0
09 Mar. 1994
WLS
Wales
1 - 3
Norway
NOR
49%
27%
24%
85 86 1 0

Matches

Mexico
Mexico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 1994
MEX
Mexico
3 - 0
Northern Ireland
NIR
63%
24%
13%
89 85 4 0
04 Jun. 1994
USA
United States
1 - 0
Mexico
MEX
28%
30%
42%
90 79 11 -1
02 Mar. 1994
MEX
Mexico
0 - 0
Colombia
COL
58%
25%
17%
89 87 2 +1
24 Feb. 1994
MEX
Mexico
2 - 1
Sweden
SWE
41%
28%
31%
89 91 2 0
02 Feb. 1994
MEX
Mexico
1 - 4
Russia
RUS
81%
13%
6%
90 82 8 -1
X