Norway vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SVN
3 - 0
NOR
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
CYP
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
MKD
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 0
CYP
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 4
ISL
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ISL
1 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 4
SVN
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |