Nigeria vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
1 - 1
NGA
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
KWT
3 - 1
NGA
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1980 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
TUN
2 - 0
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1980 |
SDN
0 - 1
TZA
63%
18%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
TZA
0 - 0
MDG
68%
17%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1980 |
TZA
5 - 0
KEN
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
KEN
3 - 1
TZA
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1980 |
MDG
1 - 1
TZA
47%
22%
31%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |