Nigeria vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
NGA
3 - 0
TGO
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 1
SEN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NGA
3 - 1
DZA
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZMB
1 - 2
NGA
28%
30%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
TZA
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
ZAF
0 - 0
AGO
64%
24%
13%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ZAF
3 - 1
GNB
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZAF
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZAF
2 - 1
SEN
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ZAF
1 - 1
GHA
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |