Nigeria vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 3
NGA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
12%
20%
67%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PRT
4 - 0
NGA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
NGA
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
GNB
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GNB
5 - 1
STP
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |