Nepal vs India analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 0
MDV
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
2 - 7
OMN
5%
17%
78%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 2
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 1
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
IND
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 2
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 1
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
AFG
61%
20%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |