Nepal vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NPL
0 - 1
KWT
5%
15%
80%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
MMR
3 - 0
NPL
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
JOR
3 - 0
NPL
81%
15%
4%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
QAT
5 - 0
BGD
89%
9%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
OMN
4 - 1
BGD
84%
13%
3%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
BGD
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |