Mozambique vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MRT
2 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
MOZ
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MWI
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CIV
3 - 0
MOZ
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 1
CMR
14%
25%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SOM
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 2
SWZ
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 1
BWA
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |