Mozambique vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
DZA
7%
18%
75%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZA
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MRT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
3 - 0
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |