Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
CPV
2 - 2
MOZ
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MOZ
2 - 0
RWA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
KEN
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MUS
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COG
3 - 0
GNB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
GNB
3 - 0
SWZ
33%
22%
45%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
GNB
2 - 1
STP
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
STP
0 - 1
GNB
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MLI
3 - 0
GNB
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |