CHAN . 1/16
Global 2-4
Mozambique vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MDG
2 - 2
MOZ
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MDG
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SYC
1 - 2
MOZ
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 4
ZWE
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MDG
2 - 2
MOZ
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MDG
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
ZWE
0 - 0
MDG
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MDG
2 - 0
SYC
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
MDG
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |