CHAN Grupo A. Jor. 2

Mozambique vs Libya analysis

Mozambique Libya
58 ELO 62
-24.6% Tilt -5.7%
2273º General ELO ranking 1629º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
33%
Mozambique
28.9%
Draw
38.2%
Libya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Mozambique
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.1%
Win probability
Libya
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mozambique
+15%
+19%
Libya

ELO progression

Mozambique
Libya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
ETH
Ethiopia
0 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
58 62 4 0
17 Nov. 2022
ZAF
South Africa
2 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
58 79 21 0
04 Sep. 2022
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Malawi
MWI
42%
28%
30%
58 59 1 0
27 Aug. 2022
MWI
Malawi
1 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
58 59 1 0
30 Jul. 2022
ZMB
Zambia
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
57 72 15 +1

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2023
DZA
Algeria
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
86%
11%
4%
62 84 22 0
27 Sep. 2022
LBY
Libya
2 - 1
Tanzania
TZA
52%
24%
23%
62 59 3 0
21 Sep. 2022
LBY
Libya
0 - 0
Uganda
UGA
36%
26%
37%
62 68 6 0
06 Jun. 2022
GNQ
Equatorial Guinea
2 - 0
Libya
LBY
40%
28%
32%
62 60 2 0
01 Jun. 2022
LBY
Libya
1 - 0
Botsuana
BWA
58%
24%
19%
62 59 3 0
X