Moldova vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
70.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 2
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
LTU
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
MNE
2 - 5
MDA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
SMR
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
ENG
4 - 0
MDA
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 95 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 3
PRT
37%
24%
39%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
PRT
1 - 0
SWE
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 5
DEU
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
KAZ
0 - 1
SWE
8%
19%
73%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | -1 |