UEFA Nations League Liga D - Playoffs Descenso. Final

Global 2-2

Moldova vs Kazakhstan analysis

Moldova Kazakhstan
47 ELO 59
-3.6% Tilt -12%
3325º General ELO ranking 1766º
11º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
19.6%
Moldova
22.9%
Draw
57.4%
Kazakhstan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
Moldova
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.4%
Win probability
Kazakhstan
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moldova
+24%
+25%
Kazakhstan

ELO progression

Moldova
Kazakhstan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moldova
Moldova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2022
MDA
Moldova
0 - 4
South Korea
KOR
9%
21%
70%
48 88 40 0
18 Jan. 2022
MDA
Moldova
2 - 3
Uganda
UGA
15%
24%
60%
48 70 22 0
15 Nov. 2021
AUT
Austria
4 - 1
Moldova
MDA
86%
11%
3%
49 85 36 -1
12 Nov. 2021
MDA
Moldova
0 - 2
Scotland
SCT
8%
19%
73%
49 84 35 0
12 Oct. 2021
ISR
Israel
2 - 1
Moldova
MDA
89%
9%
3%
49 80 31 0

Matches

Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2021
KAZ
Kazakhstan
1 - 0
Tajikistan
TJK
46%
24%
30%
58 57 1 0
13 Nov. 2021
FRA
France
8 - 0
Kazakhstan
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
58 95 37 0
12 Oct. 2021
KAZ
Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Finland
FIN
17%
23%
60%
58 81 23 0
09 Oct. 2021
KAZ
Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Bosnia
BIH
17%
22%
62%
59 82 23 -1
07 Sep. 2021
BIH
Bosnia
2 - 2
Kazakhstan
KAZ
80%
14%
6%
58 82 24 +1
X