Moldova vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MDA
1 - 4
ISR
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DNK
8 - 0
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
MDA
1 - 1
FRO
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
XXK
1 - 0
MDA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
BLR
1 - 2
AZE
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 1
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 2
SRB
14%
26%
60%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
2 - 1
AZE
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 0
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | 0 |