Gold Cup CONCACAF Grupo C. Jor. 1

Mexico vs El Salvador analysis

Mexico El Salvador
92 ELO 65
-9.3% Tilt -3.6%
54º General ELO ranking 1667º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
81.7%
Mexico
13.7%
Draw
4.7%
El Salvador

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
Mexico
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.6%
4.7%
Win probability
El Salvador
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mexico
-8%
-20%
El Salvador

ELO progression

Mexico
El Salvador
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mexico
Mexico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2017
MEX
Mexico
2 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
69%
20%
11%
92 85 7 0
02 Jul. 2017
PRT
Portugal
2 - 1
Mexico
MEX
47%
24%
29%
92 92 0 0
29 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
4 - 1
Mexico
MEX
65%
19%
16%
92 94 2 0
29 Jun. 2017
MEX
Mexico
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
78%
16%
6%
92 81 11 0
24 Jun. 2017
MEX
Mexico
2 - 1
Russia
RUS
55%
23%
22%
92 88 4 0

Matches

El Salvador
El Salvador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2017
ECU
Ecuador
3 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
85%
11%
4%
65 88 23 0
28 May. 2017
HND
Honduras
2 - 2
El Salvador
SLV
70%
19%
11%
65 81 16 0
23 Mar. 2017
CUW
Curaçao
1 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
12%
18%
71%
65 48 17 0
22 Jan. 2017
SLV
El Salvador
1 - 0
Nicaragua
NIC
55%
23%
22%
65 59 6 0
21 Jan. 2017
PAN
Panama
1 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
65%
22%
13%
65 82 17 0
X