Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USA
2 - 3
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MEX
3 - 3
TTO
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 3
MEX
13%
20%
66%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SLV
1 - 3
HTI
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
SLV
1 - 0
CUW
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 1
SLV
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
SLV
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |