Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GUY
0 - 5
MEX
7%
19%
74%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 0
CRI
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 2
MEX
21%
25%
54%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
0 - 1
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
11%
22%
68%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRI
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUY
2 - 3
SLV
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
GUY
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 2
JAM
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SLV
1 - 0
GTM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |