Mexico vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PRT
2 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
4 - 1
MEX
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
RUS
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PRY
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
5 - 0
PRY
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
PRY
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
PRY
2 - 1
ECU
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRY
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |