Mexico vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
GTM
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
HND
0 - 1
MEX
12%
21%
67%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
46%
26%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 0
NGA
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 2
NGA
10%
20%
70%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |