Mexico vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.5%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12%
4-0
14.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5%
1.2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
MEX
1 - 1
PRY
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
NLD
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
FRO
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
31%
27%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1997 |
PHL
0 - 1
EST
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SWE
1 - 0
EST
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 93 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
EST
0 - 3
AUT
3%
12%
85%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
EST
0 - 2
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |