Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
DNK
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
2 - 3
ITA
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 0
DEU
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
COL
2 - 1
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
52%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
GIN
3 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
83%
10%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
COL
0 - 0
CHL
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |