Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
12%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
30%
21%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
MEX
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
PRY
0 - 0
MEX
57%
20%
24%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MEX
1 - 0
PRY
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
30%
21%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
COL
2 - 0
USA
52%
19%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
PRY
3 - 0
COL
66%
17%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
URY
1 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |