Mexico vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 2
MEX
6%
17%
77%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 2
MEX
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 0
TTO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 0
JAM
29%
24%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CMR
1 - 1
JAM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
JAM
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 1
JAM
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |